BTC$72,877
ETH$2,018
BNB$671.55
XRP$1.04
SOL$81.94
TRX$0.3181
HYPE$71.05
ZEC$1,018
DOGE$0.0672
XMR$556.311Price and market
- As of 12:40 AM ET, Bitcoin traded at $74,806: up 0.3% over 24 hours, down 3.4% over 7 days and down 10.7% over 30 days.Binance
- The 24-hour range was $73,750–75,568; overnight, during the Asian session, price held a narrow $74,380–75,440 band.Binance
- The Nov 9 daily candle (UTC) closed up 0.7% at $75,368: after Sunday's drop to $73,510, the lowest since August, buyers returned alongside the US stock rally.Binance
5 more facts
- Binance BTC/USDT spot volume over 24 hours was 14,629 BTC (about $1.09 billion), down from 16,521 BTC a day earlier: the weekend panic has faded.Binance
- Bitcoin's market cap is $1.50 trillion and the total crypto market $2.51 trillion (down 1.7% over 24 hours); BTC dominance is 59.6%, ETH 10.3%.CoinGecko
- Bitcoin is 40.7% below its record of $126,080 (Oct 6, 2025) and down 29.6% over the year.CoinGecko
- Ether dipped below $2,100 on Monday, its lowest since August, and traded near $2,120 by early Tuesday; it took nearly twice Bitcoin's liquidation losses.CoinDesk
- The Coinbase premium over Binance is near zero (−0.005%): US buyers are in no hurry to buy the dip ahead of CPI.Coinbase
2Technical analysis
- Daily RSI(14) is 36.3: weak, but not oversold.Binance
- MACD at −1,719 is below its signal line at −1,401, histogram −318 (−374 a day earlier): downside momentum persists but has eased slightly.Binance
- Price is below the EMA20 ($77,892), EMA50 ($79,144) and EMA200 ($76,741), all acting as resistance; the last EMA cross was a golden cross on Sep 16.Binance
7 more facts
- The 50-week moving average is $75,224, with price 0.6% below it; Galaxy notes the bullish picture holds if it is reclaimed within a month.The Block
- The 200-day simple moving average is $73,209 and the Mayer Multiple 1.02 (49th percentile historically): Sunday's $73,510 low stopped $300 above it.Binance
- BRN says a daily (UTC) close below $73,000 would open the way to $70,000; Bitget Wallet sees $73,000–74,000 as key support, with $68,000 at risk below and a reclaim of $80,000 as the strength signal.CoinDesk
- Levels: support at $73,750 (24h low), $73,500 (Sunday's low) and $73,000 (200-day average and analysts' line); resistance at $75,500 (24h high and 50-week MA), $76,200 and $76,800 (EMA200).Binance
- The 200-week moving average is $67,984, with price 10% above it; Pi Cycle reads 0.50, far from overheating.CoinLab
- Fractals: the two-week stretch (−5.6%) matches 6 historical episodes, 4 of which rose next (median +7.5%); the 50-day window is 3 of 6 up with a −0.4% median, the six-month window 5 of 6 up. Statistics, not a promise.CoinLab
- Polymarket puts the median price for noon ET on Nov 11 at $74,880, with an interquartile range of $73,466–76,143 and 49.5% odds of an up day: bettors expect a flat day, matching our base sideways case, though today's CPI could push price to the edges.Polymarket
3Derivatives
- Crypto liquidations over 24 hours to the morning of Nov 10 were about $334 million, a third of the previous day's; Ether accounted for $95.9 million and Bitcoin for $89.3 million.Kucoin
- On Nov 9 liquidations topped $1 billion: $448 million in Ether, nearly double Bitcoin's $272 million.CoinDesk
- Binance's feed shows at least $13.7 million of BTC longs and $8.1 million of shorts liquidated over 24 hours: mostly buyers were flushed.CoinLab
6 more facts
- Open interest in Binance BTC futures is 98,687 BTC ($7.38 billion): up 2.4% over 24 hours and down 3.7% over the week, as positions rebuild ahead of CPI.Binance
- Funding on Binance and Hyperliquid is 0.01% per 8 hours (11% annualized), OKX 0.0083%, Bybit 0.0031%; Binance's 30-day average is 0.0063%: longs are paying shorts.Binance
- Binance's account long/short ratio is 2.77 (73.5% long), top traders 2.27; the taker buy/sell ratio is 1.04: retail is still loaded with longs.Binance
- Futures trade slightly below spot: a $74,780 mark price against a $74,805 index, so speculators are unwilling to pay up for upside.Binance
- Hyperliquid whales turned net short Bitcoin for the first time in seven months as of Nov 8, per Glassnode, with short exposure the highest since October 2025.Bloomingbit
- CoinLab's squeeze index is −29, tilted toward a long flush: positive funding, retail long, and long liquidations exceeding shorts.CoinLab
4Options
- Today at 08:00 UTC (3:00 AM ET) 2,590 BTC of options expire on Deribit with max pain at $75,000, almost at the market.Deribit
- Tomorrow, Nov 11, another 1,551 BTC expire with max pain at $75,000 and a put/call ratio of 1.24: short-dated protection is in more demand than upside.Deribit
- The next big expiry is Friday, Nov 13: 32,807 BTC, max pain $77,000, put/call 0.59.Deribit
4 more facts
- The monthly Nov 27 expiry holds 76,867 BTC with max pain at $79,000; the Dec 25 expiry holds 140,991 BTC with max pain at $75,000.Deribit
- The DVOL volatility index is 39.4 (39.3 a week ago): options price a daily move of about ±2.1%, or ±$1,540.Deribit
- The put/call ratio across all open interest is 0.73, with open interest at 342,846 BTC ($25.6 billion).Deribit
- On Nov 9, four of the six most-traded Bitcoin options were puts struck at $70,000–72,000, and the one-week put premium over calls rose to 13%.CoinDesk
5ETFs and institutions
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs lost $201 million on Nov 9, a third straight day of outflows: IBIT −$213.2 million, ARKB −$9.9 million, with MSBT the only inflow (+$22.1 million).Bloomingbit
- For the week of Nov 2–6 the funds lost $1.28 billion (IBIT $1.21 billion); year-to-date net flows stood at −$914 million as of Nov 6.The Block
- On Nov 6 outflows were $411.9 million, $403 million of it from IBIT.Tftc
6 more facts
- Miner MARA has sold 13,597 BTC since late September for about $1.1 billion (average about $81,039), 40% of its stack, and plans to keep selling to fund AI data centers.CoinDesk
- MARA reported Q3 profit of $632 million, but $885 million was a paper gain on Bitcoin; revenue fell 35% to $164 million, and $750 million went to repay BTC-backed loans.CoinDesk
- Strategy bought 1,036 BTC for $81.9 million during Nov 2–8 and now holds 850,364 BTC at an average $75,456; price at publication was 0.9% below its cost basis.The Block
- Trump Media reported Q3 profit of about $410 million, driven by gains on its crypto holdings.The Block
- 181 public companies hold 1.30 million BTC (6.2% of supply) worth about $97 billion; after Strategy, the largest are Metaplanet (44,000 BTC), Twenty One (43,514) and Strive (43,124).CoinGecko
- Ether ETFs lost $365 million in the week of Nov 2–6, a sixth straight week of outflows.Startupfortune
6Sentiment and on-chain
- The Fear & Greed Index is 32 (Fear): 29 a day ago, 26 a week ago, 61 a month ago; the one-year average is 31.alternative.me
- CoinLab's market temperature is 28 out of 100: across eight cycle metrics the market sits in the cold zone, where historically buying outweighed selling.CoinLab
- MVRV is 1.42 (as of Nov 2), the 33rd percentile historically: holders are on average about 42% in profit.Coinmetrics
5 more facts
- The short-term holder cost basis is about $75,757 (as of Nov 3): price is 1.3% below it, so recent buyers are underwater on average and rallies toward it meet selling.Bgeometrics
- Long-term holders cut balances by 248,000 BTC (about $17.4 billion) in Q3, almost three times ETF buying over the same period.21shares
- Stablecoin supply is $293.7 billion: down 1.6% over the week and 4.6% (−$14.1 billion) over 30 days, so no new money is entering crypto.Defillama
- Galaxy notes that in the 2011–2012 and 2019–2020 bear markets Bitcoin also lost the 50-week average after first reclaiming it, yet the prior low held on weekly closes; this cycle's low is $59,517 (Jun 28).The Block
- Polymarket for November: 45.5% for a touch of $80,000, 68.5% for a drop to $72,500 and 46.5% for $70,000: bettors lean slightly toward downside.Polymarket
7Mining
- Hashrate is about 965 EH/s and difficulty 148.4 T.mempool.space
- The next difficulty adjustment is due around Nov 13 (479 blocks left, epoch 76% done) with an estimated −6.5% as miners switch off after the price drop; the previous one was +5.5%.mempool.space
- Hashprice was $32.86 per PH/s per day on Nov 2 (−8.7% for the week), below the 30-day average of $37.49; miner revenue is lower still after the weekend drop.Hashrateindex
3 more facts
- MARA is pivoting to AI: it expects to close the 485 MW Long Ridge gas plant deal in coming weeks, holds a Texas site of up to 2 GW and targets two data-center leases by year-end.CoinDesk
- Fees are at the floor: 1 sat/vB for both fast and one-hour confirmation, the network is nearly empty.mempool.space
- Block height is 975,265, with 74,735 blocks to the halving (expected around April 2028).mempool.space
8Macro
- The day's main event is October CPI at 8:30 AM ET: consensus +0.3% m/m headline and +0.2% core (September: +0.6% and +0.3%); there will be no year-over-year comparison because of the data gap from the October 2025 shutdown.CoinDesk
- On Monday the S&P 500 rose 2.35% to 7,549.94, its best day since Apr 8; the Nasdaq gained 2.74% to 25,253 and the Dow added 1,104 points (+2.15%) to 52,390.Mymotherlode
- Nvidia bucked the rally, falling 4.27% to $178.67 on its board's probe involving Jensen Huang, while the semiconductor index jumped 6.85% and AMD 13.3%.Fool
9 more facts
- The VIX fell 22% to 19.9: equities calmed down, but Bitcoin barely joined the stock rebound.Yahoo Finance
- In Asia the rally extended: the Nikkei gained 2.4–2.7% (around 60,400) and the KOSPI 3.7–4% (around 5,240) on AI and chip stocks, with SoftBank up more than 14%.Investinglive
- China's October exports rose 35.2% y/y (forecast 33.5%) and imports 41.6%; the trade surplus narrowed to $105 billion.Investinglive
- The Fed funds rate is 3.75–4.00% after September's hike; it was held on Oct 28 by a 10–2 vote (Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack wanted a hike); the next meeting is Dec 8–9.CNBC
- Polymarket prices a December hike at 79.5% and a hold at 18.5%; a hot CPI would reinforce those bets and weigh on Bitcoin.Polymarket
- On Monday Austan Goolsbee warned the AI investment boom increasingly resembles demand overheating, and Tom Barkin said further hikes may be needed, though pace and size are unclear.Actionforex
- The 2-year Treasury yield was 4.56% (+5 bp) and the 10-year 4.88% (+2 bp) on Nov 9: yields remain near their highs.Treasury
- WTI crude is $85.7 (−1.3% on the day, −10.8% over five days) on hopes for an Iran deal; gold is $4,126 (+4.7% over five days) and the DXY dollar index 101.6.Yahoo Finance
- Later this week: Wednesday is Veterans Day in the US (bond market closed, thinner liquidity), PPI is due Nov 13, Fed minutes Nov 18 and PCE Nov 25.CoinDesk
9Regulation and events
- Iran told the US to stop "fake news" about the talks and to accept seven conditions to end the war: a Strait of Hormuz deal is not yet close.Investinglive
- Sen. Elizabeth Warren vowed closer scrutiny of prediction markets and the Trump family's crypto ventures.The Block
- With the CLARITY Act stalled in the Senate, the SEC and CFTC signed a memorandum of understanding on Nov 3 and are writing crypto rules without legislation.Mondovisione
6 more facts
- The SEC sent the White House draft rules for broker-dealers handling crypto, covering capital and customer custody; the text is not yet public.Crypto Briefing
- The New York Stock Exchange plans to settle tokenized stocks on Avalanche as part of a 24/7 market.The Block
- Coinbase and PNC Bank expanded their partnership to offer USDC payments to the bank's corporate clients.The Block
- From Nov 12 the European Banking Authority takes over supervision of the USDC issuer's own funds, reserves and liquidity.CoinDesk
- Elliptic says launderers of funds from the Binance hack (about $6.3–6.4 billion since Oct 29) are minting homemade memecoins to move the stolen money.The Block
- CoreWeave, Bitdeer and eToro report after the US close today; Nvidia's earnings are just over a week away.CoinDesk