BTC$74,671
ETH$2,078
BNB$686.41
XRP$1.06
SOL$84.94
TRX$0.3171
HYPE$73.11
ZEC$1,003
XMR$585.78
DOGE$0.0686Bitcoin forecast accuracy, November 2026
Every day the scenarios are recorded at release; 24 hours later we check which range the price landed in. Misses are not hidden.
Briefs checked
19
Base case came true
74%
the daily close landed inside the most likely scenario’s range
At least one scenario right
89%
the close landed inside one of the three ranges
| Day | Morning price | Close | Base case | Came true | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 10, 2026 · overnight | $74,806 | $73,736 (-1.4%) | Sideways, 45% | Sideways | yes |
| November 10, 2026 · morning, pre-market | $73,980 | $73,888 (-0.7%) | Sideways, 42% | Sideways | yes |
| November 9, 2026 · overnight | $74,578 | $74,786 (+0.0%) | Sideways, 50% | Sideways | yes |
| November 9, 2026 · morning, pre-market | $74,772 | $74,396 (-0.7%) | Sideways, 50% | Sideways | yes |
| November 8, 2026 · overnight | $75,878 | $74,818 (-1.4%) | Sideways, 55% | Sideways | yes |
| November 8, 2026 · morning | $76,064 | $74,920 (-1.4%) | Sideways, 55% | Sideways | yes |
| November 7, 2026 · overnight | $76,023 | $75,866 (-0.1%) | Sideways, 55% | Sideways | yes |
| November 7, 2026 · morning | $75,902 | $75,980 (+0.1%) | Sideways, 55% | Sideways | yes |
| November 6, 2026 · overnight | $75,491 | $75,907 (+0.2%) | Sideways, 45% | Sideways | yes |
| November 6, 2026 · morning, pre-market | $75,650 | $75,900 (-0.2%) | Sideways, 45% | Sideways | yes |
| November 5, 2026 · overnight | $80,490 | $75,765 (-5.9%) | Sideways, 48% | Pullback | no |
| November 5, 2026 · morning, pre-market | $79,673 | $76,040 (-4.5%) | Sideways, 50% | Pullback | no |
| November 4, 2026 · overnight | $77,409 | $80,520 (+4.0%) | Sideways, 45% | Breakout | no |
| November 4, 2026 · morning, pre-market | $78,447 | $79,662 (+1.7%) | Sideways, 47% | Breakout | no |
| November 3, 2026 · overnight | $76,719 | $77,390 (+0.6%) | Sideways, 45% | Sideways | yes |
| November 3, 2026 · morning, pre-market | $77,676 | $78,298 (+1.1%) | Sideways, 45% | Sideways | yes |
| November 2, 2026 · overnight | $78,370 | $76,944 (-1.9%) | Sideways, 52% | Pullback | no |
| November 2, 2026 · morning, pre-market | $78,200 | $77,428 (-0.5%) | Sideways, 50% | Sideways | yes |
| November 1, 2026 · morning | $77,980 | $77,808 (-0.1%) | Sideways, 50% | Sideways | yes |